Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOT
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |