Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
GOI
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |