Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
GOI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 1
BOT
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 4
BOT
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 1
AMF
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |