Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
Santos FC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AVA
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
ATM
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 2
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |