Paulista A1 Final
Global 2-1
Santos FC vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
88%
10%
3%
|
86 | 35 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
9%
20%
72%
|
86 | 34 | 52 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUD
4 - 1
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
AUD
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUD
2 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |