Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Santos FC vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
IFC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 3
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATM
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |