Santos FC vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIT
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 2
SPO
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLA
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAO
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |