Santos FC vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOI
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
JUV
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AMF
4 - 4
COR
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 1
VAS
25%
27%
49%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
0 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |