Santos FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
COM
3 - 1
SFC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 3
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
SRP
0 - 1
SFC
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 4
LOS
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 0
SFC
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
LOS
0 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
SCJ
1 - 0
COM
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COM
2 - 3
ALI
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GAR
4 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |