Santos FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
LOS
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SRP
0 - 1
SFC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CIE
3 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AGP
2 - 1
CIE
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CIE
4 - 2
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CIE
3 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |