Santos Cape Town vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Cape Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SAN
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
BID
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
GOL
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SSU
0 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 1
POL
66%
23%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BID
0 - 2
PIR
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
GOL
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 1
MAR
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 1
SSU
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |