Santos Cape Town vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Cape Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
POL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BID
2 - 0
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
4 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
PLS
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
SWA
2 - 4
AJA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 1
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
SWA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SWA
4 - 3
AJA
49%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |