Santos B vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
7%
14%
78%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 4
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
NOR
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
MIR
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |