Santos B vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
TAU
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |