Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
YAP
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
ECM
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 2
ORC
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
YAP
1 - 0
SPM
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
4 - 1
SPM
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |