Santos AP vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
IAP
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORC
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 3
ORC
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
2 - 2
SEC
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ECM
3 - 4
SEC
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SEC
1 - 5
IAP
22%
21%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |