Santos AP vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 0
ORC
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
POR
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAY
14%
22%
65%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |