Santos AP vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PRI
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPM
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ECM
0 - 1
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SEC
0 - 1
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PRI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |