Santos AP vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECM
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 3
IND
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PLA
3 - 2
BRO
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 1
PLA
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PLA
74%
15%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |