Santos AP vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SIN
1 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
JCA
4 - 1
MOT
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 0
SIN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |