Santos AP vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORC
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
YAP
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
1 - 1
IAP
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 2
TDC
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 2
TDC
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SEC
1 - 5
IAP
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |