Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 3
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TDC
3 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
TDC
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IAP
3 - 4
SAN
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
IAP
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
ECM
2 - 5
TDC
31%
25%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 4
TDC
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 3
ECM
55%
25%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 6
SPM
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 0
ECM
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |