Copa Verde Last 16
Global 1-2
Santos AP vs Bragantino PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
YAP
3 - 3
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TDC
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
SEC
1 - 8
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
BPA
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
BPA
2 - 1
SAO
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
0 - 0
FLO
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |