Santos AP vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
PRI
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PRI
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ECM
2 - 2
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECM
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 4
ATM
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
AMF
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
BOA
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |