Santomera vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
11º
9º
1
5º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 70 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 66 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 60 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 60 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 58 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 36 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 34 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 24 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 3
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
DPM
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
VIL
89%
9%
3%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAN
11%
18%
72%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 0
UCA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
3 - 0
IMP
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |