Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Santomera vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOR
62%
24%
14%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
41%
29%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDC
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CEH
0 - 1
SAN
33%
29%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
SAN
2 - 0
PIN
85%
12%
3%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
AGU
1 - 1
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
ALB
0 - 0
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
AGU
1 - 0
CSM
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
35%
30%
35%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
AGU
3 - 1
IND
77%
16%
8%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |