Santo André vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
GOI
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
AMF
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |