Santo André vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ICA
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 4
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |