Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-1
Santo André vs Veranópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 0
VER
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SCI
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
VER
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |