Santo André vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SEP
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 2
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |