Santo André vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
MIR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |