Santo André vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
12%
23%
65%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 3
ITU
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
BRA
10%
22%
68%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
6 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
SLU
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |