Santo André vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 3
NAU
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
AVA
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |