Paulista A2 Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Santo André vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATI
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
XVD
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
RIO
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |