Santo André vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |