Santo André vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 3
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 0
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 1
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 2
POR
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
3 - 3
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOG
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |