Santo André vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
RBB
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
MIR
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 1
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |