Santo André vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |