Santo André vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |