Paulista A2 Final
Global 4-3
Santo André vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
INT
0 - 0
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
INT
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
INT
2 - 0
POR
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |