Santo André vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ICA
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 3
PPE
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |