Santo André vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
RIO
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
GOI
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
0 - 2
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |