Santo André vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
FLU
4 - 1
ALI
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 2
AVA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
FLU
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |