Santo André vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
INT
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
ATI
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
TAU
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
3 - 2
FER
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
BER
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |