Santo André vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
URS
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
URS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |