Santo André vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
POR
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
INT
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 1
SAN
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 0
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 0
SAO
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 0
BAN
54%
27%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |