EMD Santillana vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
RIB
37%
25%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TEX
3 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
23%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NOJ
2 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 2
SSD
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ERO
1 - 2
RSC
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 3
GAM
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
3 - 1
CAY
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
RSC
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |