EMD Santillana vs Estrella Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
RSC
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
RIB
37%
25%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TEX
3 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ERO
2 - 6
SSD
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ERO
0 - 1
CAY
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 0
ERO
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ERO
1 - 2
RSC
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
ERO
72%
16%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |