Santiago Wanderers vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
16º
6º
37
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
SWA
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 2
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
22%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 2
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |