Santiago Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
0 - 1
SWA
67%
17%
15%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
1 - 1
SPC
49%
21%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
4 - 1
AUR
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPC
44%
22%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
2 - 3
UCO
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
4 - 0
QUI
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |